Coati optimization algorithm based Deep Convolutional Forest method for prediction of atmospheric and oceanic parameters

Abstract

Abstract Droughts and floods are examples of extreme weather events that can result from changes in ocean temperature. Ocean temperature is a key component of the global open sea system. Currently, real-time sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts are generated by numerical models based on physics principles and influenced by boundary and initial conditions. These models generally perform better over large areas than at specific locations. To address this and improve prediction accuracy, particularly in high-precision areas, the Coati Optimization Algorithm-based Deep Convolutional Forest (COA-DCF) method is proposed. This optimization approach is utilized to train the Deep Convolutional Forest (DCF) classifier, which then applies the prediction strategy. The COA-DCF method forecasts ocean surface temperature anomalies by considering key variables such as SST, Sea Surface Height (SSH), soil moisture, and wind speed, using historical data ranging from 1 to 10 days across six different locations. The proposed method achieves improved accuracy with low Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) values, and a high Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) of 0.493, 0.487, and 0.4733, respectively, thereby enhancing the overall performance of the deep learning model.

Keywords

• Sea surface temperature
• MAE
• RMSE
• Feedback connection
• COA-DCF
• Optimization