Building Predictive Models for Schizophrenia Diagnosis with Peripheral Inflammatory Biomarkers

Abstract

Machine learning and artificial intelligence technologies are known to be a convenient tool for analyzing multi-domain data in precision psychiatry. In the case of schizophrenia, the most commonly used data sources for such purposes are neuroimaging, voice and language patterns, and mobile phone data. Data on peripheral markers can also be useful for building predictive models. Here, we have developed five predictive models for the binary classification of schizophrenia patients and healthy individuals. Data on serum concentrations of cytokines, chemokines, growth factors, and age were among 38 parameters used to build these models. The sample consisted of 217 schizophrenia patients and 90 healthy individuals. The models architecture was involved logistic regression, deep neural networks, decision trees, support vector machine, and k-nearest neighbors algorithms. It was shown that the algorithm based on a deep neural network (consisting of five layers) showed a slightly higher sensitivity (0.87 ± 0.04) and specificity (0.52 ± 0.06) than other algorithms. Combining all variables into a single classifier showed a cumulative effect that exceeded the effectiveness of individual variables, indicating the need to use multiple biomarkers to diagnose schizophrenia. Thus, the data obtained showed the promise of using data on peripheral biomarkers and machine learning methods for diagnosing schizophrenia.

Keywords

• schizophrenia
• biomarkers
• artificial intelligence
• machine learning
• predictive model
• deep neural network