Seasonal snow–atmosphere modeling: let's do it

Abstract

Mountain snowpack forecasting relies on accurate mass and energy input information in relation to the snowpack. For this reason, coupled snow–atmosphere models, which downscale input fields to the snow model using atmospheric physics, have been developed. These coupled models are often limited in the spatial and temporal extents of their use by computational constraints. In addressing this challenge, we introduce HICARsnow, an intermediate-complexity coupled snow–atmosphere model. HICARsnow couples two physics-based models of intermediate complexity to enable basin-scale snow and atmospheric modeling at seasonal timescales. To showcase the efficacy and capability of HICARsnow, we present results from its application to a high-elevation basin in the Swiss Alps. The simulated snow depth is compared throughout the snow season to aerial lidar data. The model shows reasonable agreement with observations from peak accumulation through late-season melt-out, representing areas of high snow accumulation due to redistribution processes, as well as melt patterns caused by interactions between radiation and topography. HICARsnow is also found to resolve preferential deposition, with model outputs suggesting that parameterizations of the process using surface wind fields may only be inappropriate under certain atmospheric conditions. The two-way coupled model also improves surface air temperatures over late-season snow, demonstrating added value for the atmospheric model as well. Differences between observations and model outputs during the accumulation season indicate a poor representation of redistribution processes away from exposed ridges and steep terrain and a low bias in albedo at high elevations during the ablation season. Overall, HICARsnow shows great promise for applications in operational snow forecasting and in studying the representation of snow accumulation and ablation processes.