Journal of Intensive Care (Jun 2022)

Construction of a predictive model and prognosis of left ventricular systolic dysfunction in patients with sepsis based on the diagnosis using left ventricular global longitudinal strain

  • Jiangquan Yu,
  • Ruiqiang Zheng,
  • Penglei Yang,
  • Daxin Wang

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s40560-022-00621-8
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 1
pp. 1 – 11

Abstract

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Abstract Background Cardiac dysfunction, a common complication of sepsis, is associated with increased mortality. However, its risk factors are poorly understood, and a predictive model might help in the management of cardiac dysfunction. Methods A monocentric prospective study of patients with sepsis was performed. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV GLS) was measured using echocardiography within 72 h of the patients diagnosed with sepsis, and the patients were categorized into two groups: LV GLS > -17%, left ventricular systolic dysfunction group (LVSD group); and LV GLS ≤ -17%, non-left ventricular systolic dysfunction group (Non-LVSD group). The baseline characteristics and prognosis of the two groups were analyzed. Based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis, a predictive model of LVSD was established and a nomogram was drawn. Results Fifty-one left ventricular systolic dysfunction in patients with sepsis and 73 non-LVSD sepsis patients were included. Prognostic analysis showed that patients with LVSD had higher ICU mortality, in-hospital mortality, the incidence of atrial fibrillation (P 0.05). High sensitive troponin I (Hs-TnI) ≥ 0.131 ng/ml, procalcitonin (PCT) ≥ 40 ng/ml, lactate (Lac) ≥ 4.2 mmol/L, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) ≥ 3270 pg/ml were found to be the best cut-off values for the prediction of LVSD. Conclusion Sepsis patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction had a higher risk of death and atrial fibrillation. Hs-TnI, PCT, Lac, and NT-proBNP were independent risk factors of LVSD, and the LVSD predictive model constructed using these factors showed good diagnostic performance. Trial registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry No: ChiCTR2000032128. Registered on 20 April 2020, http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx ?proj=52531.

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