Classification of forest fuels in selected fire-prone ecosystems of Alberta, Canada—implications for crown fire behaviour prediction and fuel management

Abstract

Abstract Key message We used clustering to construct fuel classes from fuel inventory data based on three stand attributes relevant to crown fire behaviour: surface fuel load (SFL), canopy base height (CBH) and canopy bulk density (CBD). Resulting fuel classes explained more of the stand-to-stand variability in predicted crown fire behaviour than fuel types of the Canadian Forest Fire Behaviour Prediction (FBP) System. Context Wildfire behaviour is partly determined by stand structure and composition. Fuel characterization is essential for predicting fire behaviour and managing vegetation. Currently, categorical fuel types based on associations with major forested or open vegetated landcovers are used nationally in Canada for fire research and management applications. Aim To provide an alternative description of selected forest fuels in Alberta, Canada, using direct classification in which fuel categories are constructed from data using analytical methods. Methods Fuel inventory data for 476 stands were used to construct fuel classes with clustering. Potential crown fire behaviour was modelled for resulting fuel class clusters (FCCs) and FCCs were compared with assigned FBP System fuel types. Tree-based modelling was used to identify stand characteristics most influential on FCC membership. Fuel treatment effects on FCC and modelled crown fire behaviour were explored for the FCC most susceptible to crown fire. Results Four FCCs were identified: Red (low SFL, low CBH, low CBD); Green (high SFL, low-moderate CBH, low CBD); Blue (low SFL, high CBH, low-moderate CBD); and Black (low SFL, moderate CBH, high CBD). Stand density of live conifers and FBP System fuel type were the most important variables influencing FCC membership; however, FCCs did not align directly with assigned FBP System fuel types. Fuel reduction treatments in the Black FCC were effective at shifting the stand to a less flammable FCC. Conclusion FCCs explained more of the stand-to-stand variability in predicted crown fire behaviour than assigned FBP System fuel types, which suggests FCCs could be used to improve fire behaviour predictions and aid fire managers in prioritizing areas for fuel treatments. Future technological and remote sensing advances could enable mapping FCCs across large regions.

Keywords

• Stand structure
• Fuel load
• Fuel inventory
• Fuel complex
• Cluster analysis
• FBP System