Nonlinear Engineering (Jun 2022)

A GA-BP neural network for nonlinear time-series forecasting and its application in cigarette sales forecast

  • Sun Zheng,
  • Li XiNa,
  • Zhang HongTao,
  • Ikbal Mohammad Asif,
  • Farooqi Ataur Rahman

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1515/nleng-2022-0025
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 1
pp. 223 – 231

Abstract

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Neural network modeling for nonlinear time series predicts modeling speed and computational complexity. An improved method for dynamic modeling and prediction of neural networks is proposed. Simulations of the nonlinear time series are performed, and the idea and theory of optimizing the initial weights and threshold of the GA algorithm are discussed in detail. It has been proved that the use of GA-BP neural network in cigarette sales forecast is 80% higher than before, and this method has higher accuracy and accuracy than the gray system method.

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