Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (Feb 2022)

Large-scale synchronized replacement of Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant by the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-COV-2 in the COVID-19 pandemic

  • Yuan Liu,
  • Anyin Feng,
  • Shi Zhao,
  • Weiming Wang,
  • Daihai He

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2022165
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 19, no. 4
pp. 3591 – 3596

Abstract

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In this work, we report a large-scale synchronized replacement pattern of the Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant by the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-COV-2. We argue that this phenomenon is associated with the invasion timing and the transmissibility advantage of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant. Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant skipped some countries/regions, e.g. India and neighboring countries/regions, which could have led to a mild first wave before the invasion of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant, in term of reported COVID-deaths per capita.

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