PM₁₀ data assimilation over Europe with the optimal interpolation method

Abstract

This paper presents experiments of PM10 data assimilation with the optimal interpolation method. The observations are provided by BDQA (Base de Données sur la Qualité de l'Air), whose monitoring network covers France. Two other databases (EMEP and AirBase) are used to evaluate the improvements in the analyzed state over January 2001 and for several outputs (PM10, PM2.5 and chemical composition). The method is then applied in operational-forecast conditions. It is found that the assimilation of PM10 observations significantly improves the one-day forecast of total mass (PM10 and PM2.5), whereas the improvement is non significant for the two-day forecast. The errors on aerosol chemical composition are sometimes amplified by the assimilation procedure, which shows the need for chemical data. Since the observations cover a limited part of the domain (France versus Europe) and since the method used for assimilation is sequential, we focus on the horizontal and temporal impacts of the assimilation and we study how several parameters of the assimilation system modify these impacts. The strategy followed in this paper, with the optimal interpolation, could be useful for operational forecasts. Meanwhile, considering the weak temporal impact of the approach (about one day), the method has to be improved or other methods have to be considered.