Reclassification of allele mutations predicts the survival benefit of triplet chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer

Abstract

Background: Different RAS/BRAF allele mutations imply distinct biological properties in various solid tumors. Recently, several studies have focused on the predictive and prognostic roles of various RAS/BRAF allele mutations in colorectal cancer (CRC) but the results remain controversial. Methods: Between March 2017 and September 2022, the patients diagnosed as stages I–IV CRC with detailed medical records including next-generation sequencing (NGS) data and clinicopathological follow-up information available at our center were enrolled. Survival data were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method, and the difference was tested in a log-rank test. Multivariate tests were carried out using Cox models. Results: A total of 1029 CRC patients were included, and the incidence of RAS/BRAF mutation was 58.4%. The hypermutated cohort was defined as patients with microsatellite instability-H or POLE/D mutation. In the non-hypermutational cohort, only KRAS G13D mutation was associated with a higher incidence and inferior disease-free survival in patients with stage I-III CRC. In the cohort of patients with non-hypermutated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), we assessed the risk of various RAS/BRAF allele mutations and subsequently reclassified patients into four groups based on first-line median progression-free survival: wild type (group 1), low-risk RAS /BRAF mutation (group 2, RAS/BRAF mutations other than KRAS G13D/G12V/G12C or BRAF V600E), high-risk RAS mutation (group 3, KRAS G13D/G12V/G12C), and BRAF V600E mutation (group 4). mCRC patients with high-risk RAS mutation could significantly benefit from intensive triplet chemotherapy (hazard ratio, 2.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.36–5.12; p = 0.0091). Conclusion: In the non-hypermutated CRC cohort, the prognostic risk of various RAS/BRAF allele mutations varied between local and metastatic CRC. KRAS G13D mutation tended to be the only prognostic marker for stages I–III CRC; however, KRAS G13D/G12V/G12C mutations collectively defined a high-risk subgroup of mCRC patients with poor prognosis, who would benefit from intensive triplet chemotherapy.