Geoscientific Model Development (Sep 2017)

Changes in regional climate extremes as a function of global mean temperature: an interactive plotting framework

  • R. Wartenburger,
  • M. Hirschi,
  • M. G. Donat,
  • M. G. Donat,
  • P. Greve,
  • A. J. Pitman,
  • A. J. Pitman,
  • S. I. Seneviratne

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3609-2017
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10
pp. 3609 – 3634

Abstract

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This article extends a previous study Seneviratne et al. (2016) to provide regional analyses of changes in climate extremes as a function of projected changes in global mean temperature. We introduce the DROUGHT-HEAT Regional Climate Atlas, an interactive tool to analyse and display a range of well-established climate extremes and water-cycle indices and their changes as a function of global warming. These projections are based on simulations from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). A selection of example results are presented here, but users can visualize specific indices of interest using the online tool. This implementation enables a direct assessment of regional climate changes associated with global mean temperature targets, such as the 2 and 1.5° limits agreed within the 2015 Paris Agreement.