East Asian Economic Review (Jun 2006)
Finance and Economic Development in China
Abstract
This paper focuses on the following two issues. First, the paper investigates the extent to which financial development has contributed to economic growth in China. For this purpose, we utilize well-known financial development indicators and seek to find a long-run relationship between output growth and financial development. Second, the effects of financial repression on economic growth are examined. A financial repression index is constructed based on three related measures, and this index is augmented to the growth-finance equation. Empirical results show that, three financial development indicators, Liquid Liabilities, Domestic Credit and Non-Policy Loan, have stable positive long-run relationships with output growth. It is also found that output growth is weakly exogenous with respect to financial development, whereas financial development is not with respect to output growth. As for the financial repression, it turns out to have affected output growth negatively during the sample period. Unlike financial development indicators, financial repression index is found to be weakly exogenous.
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