Bankaların Finansal Başarısızlıklarının Geleneksel ve Yeni Yöntemlerle Öngörüsü(Prediction of Financial Failure of Banks with Traditional and New Methods)

Abstract

The aim of this study is to set the early warning models for the prediction of financial failures of banks which are most importnant factor of financial system especially in Turkey. In this study it is compared predictability of various prediction models such as discriminant analysis and artificial neural networks using usually in literature. For this purpose, financial failure probability of banks is separately predicted with financial ratios of 36 privately owned commercial banks for 1 and 2 years ago.

Keywords

• Banka Başarısızlığı
• Finansal Başarısızlık
• Diskriminant Analizi
• Yapay Sinir Ağları
• Başarısızlık Öngörüsü
• Bank Failure
• Financial Failure
• Discriminant Analysis
• Artificial Neural Networks
• Failure Prediction