Mathematics (Aug 2022)

On the Conditional Value at Risk Based on the Laplace Distribution with Application in GARCH Model

  • Malik Zaka Ullah,
  • Fouad Othman Mallawi,
  • Mir Asma,
  • Stanford Shateyi

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math10163018
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 16
p. 3018

Abstract

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In this article, the Laplace distribution is employed in lieu of the well-known normal distribution for finding better scalar values of risk. Explicit formulas for value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) are studied and used to manage the risk involved in a stock movement by using the GARCH model. Numerical simulations are given for a variety of stocks in equity markets to uphold the findings.

Keywords