Spatial–temporal distribution of Anopheles larval habitats in Uganda using GIS/remote sensing technologies

Abstract

Abstract Background Anopheles mosquitoes impose an immense burden on the African population in terms of both human health and comfort. Uganda, in particular, boasts one of the highest malaria transmission rates in the world and its entire population is at risk for infection. Despite the immense burden these mosquitoes pose on the country, very few programmes exist that directly combat the issue at the vector control level and even fewer programmes focus on the vector in its most vulnerable juvenile stages. This study utilizes remote sensing techniques and spatial autocorrelation models to identify and prioritize the most prolific Anopheline larval habitats for control purposes in a rural community in Uganda. Methods A community-based mosquito surveillance programme was developed and implemented in Papoli Parish in Eastern Uganda over a 4-month period. Each day, a trained field team sampled the larval habitats of Anopheles mosquitoes within the population-dense areas of the community. Habitats and their productivity were identified and plotted spatially on a daily basis. Daily output was combined and displayed as a weekly habitat time-series. Additional spatial analysis was conducted using the Global and Anselin’s Local Moran’s I statistic to assess habitat spatial autocorrelation. Results Spatial models were developed to identify highly significant habitats and dictated the priority of these habitats for larval control purposes. Weekly time-series models identified the locations and productivity of each habitat, while Local Moran’s I cluster maps identified statistically significant clusters (Cluster: High) and outliers (High Outlier) that were then interpreted for control priority. Models were stitched together in a temporal format to visually demonstrate the spatial shift of statically significant, high priority habitats over the entire study period. Discussion The findings show that the spatial outcomes of productive habitats can be made starkly apparent through initial habitat modelling and resulting time-series output. However, mosquito control resources are often limited and it is at this point that the Local Moran’s I statistics demonstrates its value. Focusing on habitats identified as Cluster: High and High Outlier outputs allow for the identification of the most influential larval habitats. Utilizing this method for malaria control allows for the optimization of control resources in a real time, community driven, fashion, as well as providing a framework for future control practices.

Keywords

• Mosquito control
• Mosquito surveillance
• Autocorrelation
• Moran’s I
• Remote sensing