Generalised drought index: a novel multi-scale daily approach for drought assessment

Abstract

Drought is a complex climatic phenomenon characterised by water scarcity and is recognised as the most widespread and insidious natural hazard, posing significant challenges to ecosystems and human society. In this study, we propose a new daily based index for characterising droughts, which involves standardising precipitation and/or precipitation minus potential evapotranspiration (PET) data. The new index proposed here, the generalised drought index (GDI), is computed for the entire period available from the Iberian Gridded Dataset (1971 to 2015). Comparative assessments are conducted against the daily Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI), the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and a simple Z-Score standardisation of climatic variables. Seven different accumulation periods are considered (7, 15, 30, 90, 180, 360, and 720 d) with three drought levels: moderate, severe, and extreme. The evaluation focuses mainly on the direct comparison amongst indices in terms of their ability to conform to the standard normal distribution, added value assessment using the distribution added value (DAV), and a simple bias difference for drought characteristics. Results reveal that the GDI, together with the SPI and SPEI, follows the standard normal distribution. In contrast, the Z-Score index depends on the original distribution of the data. The daily time step of all indices allows the characterisation of flash droughts, with the GDI demonstrating added value when compared to the SPI and SPEI for the shorter and longer accumulations, with a positive DAV up to 35 %. Compared to the Z-Score, the GDI shows expected greater gains, particularly at lower accumulation periods, with the DAV reaching 100 %. Furthermore, the spatial extent of drought for the 2004–2005 event is assessed. All three indices generally provide similar representations, except for the Z-Score, which exhibits limitations in capturing extreme drought events at lower accumulation periods. Overall, the findings suggest that the new index offers improved performance and comparatively adds value to similar indices with a daily time step.