IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN THE SOCIOECONOMIC MODEL OF RICE FARMERS IN BANJAR REGENCY, INDONESIA

Abstract

Climate variability leads to changes in rainfall amount and patterns, resulting in shifts in the early planting season and planting periods. Floods in rice farming areas in several districts of Banjar Regency pose a risk of reduced agricultural production and income for farmers who solely rely on agriculture for their livelihoods. This can potentially lead to economic and food crises. This has an impact on the socio-economic behavior of farmers, both in on-farm, off-farm, and non-farm production systems, labor allocation, household consumption patterns, and it also affects food security, self-sufficiency, and the well-being of farmers. Based on the analysis results, there is a significant correlation between production behavior and consumption behavior through the income variable. Furthermore, consumption behavior (food consumption and health investment) influences production behavior. Household consumption behavior of farmers is determined by the availability of budget in the form of family income and family characteristics (the number of family members). In line with this, food consumption is greatly determined by income from sources other than rice farming, while investment expenditures, especially health investment, are largely influenced by the number of children. The influence of external factors in farming (climate variability, pests) greatly affects agricultural production and productivity, ultimately impacting farmers' behavior in determining their farming activities.

Keywords

• socioeconomic model
• climate variability
• simultaneous regression