Evaluation of GRACE/GRACE Follow-On Time-Variable Gravity Field Models for Earthquake Detection above Mw8.0s in Spectral Domain

Abstract

This study compares the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE)/GRACE Follow-On (GFO) errors with the coseismic gravity variations generated by earthquakes above Mw8.0s that occurred during April 2002~June 2017 and evaluates the influence of monthly model errors on the coseismic signal detection. The results show that the precision of GFO monthly models is approximately 38% higher than that of the GRACE monthly model and all the detected earthquakes have signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) larger than 1.8. The study concludes that the precision of the time-variable gravity fields should be improved by at least one order in order to detect all the coseismic gravity signals of earthquakes with M ≥ 8.0. By comparing the spectral intensity distribution of the GFO stack errors and the 2019 Mw8.0 Peru earthquake, it is found that the precision of the current GFO monthly model meets the requirement to detect the coseismic signal of the earthquake. However, due to the limited time length of the observations and the interference of the hydrological signal, the coseismic signals are, in practice, difficult to extract currently.

Keywords

• coseismic gravity change
• degree variance
• earthquake
• GRACE
• monthly time-variable field model