A novel mathematical model for modeling viscosity and temperature relationship for dead oils

Abstract

Abstract Viscosity is crucial in subsurface and surface transport, used in engineering domains like heat transfer and pipeline design. However, measurements are limited, necessitating predictive viscosity relationships. Existing models lack precision or pertain to limited fluids, and accurately forecasting dead oil viscosity remains challenging due to errors. The study presents a mathematical algorithm to accurately estimate viscosity values in hydrocarbon fluids. It uses a robust non-linear regression technique to establish a reliable relationship between fluid viscosity and temperature within a specific temperature range. The algorithm is applied to extra-heavy to light crude oil samples from Iranian oilfields, revealing viscosity values ranging from 0.29 cp to 5328.74 cp within a dataset of 243 viscosity data points. After modeling each of these five fluids, the highest values obtained for the maximum absolute error and relative error are related to the fluid with an API gravity of 12.92. The maximum absolute error and relative error for this fluid sample are 1.25 cp and 6.04%, respectively. The algorithm offers acceptable precision in outcome models, even with limited training data, demonstrating its effectiveness in training models with less than 30% of available data. Moreover, these models end up with a near-unity coefficient of determination in testing data, reaffirming their proficiency at reflecting empirical data with remarkable accuracy.

Keywords

• Viscosity
• Mathematical Algorithm
• Heavy Crude Oil
• Extra-Heavy Oil
• Non-Linear Regression