History Matching and Production Prediction of Steam Drive Reservoir Based on Data-Space Inversion Method

Abstract

Recently, a data-space inversion (DSI) method has been proposed and successfully applied for the history matching and production optimization for conventional waterflooding reservoir. Under Bayesian framework, DSI can directly and effectively obtain posterior flow predictions without inverting any geological parameters of reservoir model. In this paper, we integrate the numerical simulation model with DSI method for rapid history matching and production prediction for steam flooding reservoir. Based on the finite volume method, a numerical simulation model is established and it is used to provide production data samples for DSI by the simulation of ensemble geological models. DSI-based production prediction model is then established and get trained by the historical data through the random maximum likelihood principle. The posterior production estimation can be obtained fast by training the DSI-based model with history data, but without any posterior geological parameters. The proposed method is applied for history matching and estimating production performance prediction in some numerical examples and a field case, and the results prove its effectiveness and reliability.