The reversal in the cryptocurrency market before and during the Covid-19 pandemic: Does investor attention matter?

Abstract

This study delves into the impact of reversals and investor attention on cryptocurrency returns before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. We employ the Two Stages Least Squares to analyze a sample of the top 20 cryptocurrencies from January 2016 to April 2021. Our results reveal that investor attention positively influences bitcoin returns in both periods, with a more pronounced effect during the pandemic. Conversely, reversals demonstrate a positive correlation with cryptocurrency returns before the outbreak but a negative relationship during the pandemic. Our robustness test further indicates that investor attention positively affects the returns of small and medium-cap cryptocurrencies, while reversals only exhibit positive consequences for small-cap cryptocurrencies. Additionally, our findings highlight stablecoins as a safe haven during the epidemic. The results suggest that investor attention has little influence on the returns of stablecoins, indicating that these coins are primarily resistant to market sentiment due to their inherent stability. The negative impact of the pandemic on the crypto market demonstrates a downward trend through each wave. Despite aligning with attention-induced price pressure and behavioral finance hypotheses, our results do not support efficient market theory or the notion of heterogeneity among investors. This research provides valuable insights for investors and policymakers in devising effective strategies for the cryptocurrency market.