Patterns of accidents at the land level in Ecuador. Period of analysis 2016

Abstract

The main objective of the present study was to evaluate the patterns of accidents at the land level in Ecuador during 2016. A positivist paradigm was used with a descriptive, correlational, expos-facto and transversal method, in which a total of 30269 records corresponding to the characteristics of traffic accidents. A documentary review was made of where the information was extracted. The records were supplied by the National Transit Agency (ANT). Descriptive statistics was used to characterize the problem situation and statistical independence tests Chi Square and Logistic Regression tests were applied. The variables considered in the study were: Province, Month, day, time of accident, type of accident, probable cause, area of occurrence, number of injuries and number of deaths. The result was: high percentage of accidents in Pichincha, Guayas and Imbabura, preponderant months January, December and October. Days and time of major accidents Friday from 19:00 to 19:59 and Saturdays from 20:00 to 20:59. Which are due to Driver's crashes and lack of skill, with a balance of less than 7 injured and less than 4 deaths. Statistical relationship between the variables is evidenced: class of accident and day, month and probable cause and cause of the accident and time, at a level of 5%. As for the logistic regression, the variables with the greatest statistical significance were: Time: 16:00 to 16:59 p.m. and 19:00 to 19:59. Causes: Drunkenness / Drugs and Excess Speed; Class: Run-ins, Starings, Friction and loss of track; Month: January and October; Day: there was no discrimination.

Keywords

• accidente de tránsito
• causas de accidentes
• Ecuador
• regresión logística
• Transporte