GLOBAL RISKS AND THEIR INFLUENCE ON THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS IN THE ARCTIC REGION

Abstract

Globalization processes which lead to the appearance and development of global risks are stated in the article. A categorization of global risks and their infl uence on the Arctic region development process are given by the author. By using a model of integrated system of econometric equations a model for forecasting the development of categories of global risks is proposed. On the basis of received results an estimation of future impact of global risks on the processes in the Arctic region is given in the article.

Keywords

• глобальные риски
• категория
• экономика
• динамика
• прогнозные модели
• эконометрическое уравнение