Rate and Risk Factors of Reinfection, Recurrence, and Hospital Readmission Among SARS-Cov-2 Hospitalized Patients; a National Cohort Study

Abstract

Introduction: Reinfection and hospital readmission due to COVID-19 were significant and costly during the pandemic. This study aimed to assess the rate and risk factors of SARS-Cov-2 reinfection, recurrence, and hospital readmission, by analyzing the national data registry in Iran. Methods: This study was a retrospective cohort conducted from March 2020 to May 2021. A census method was used to consider all of the possible information in the national Medical Care Monitoring Center (MCMC) database obtained from the Ministry of Health and Medical Education; the data included information from all confirmed COVID-19 patients who were hospitalized and diagnosed using at least one positive Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) test by nasopharyngeal swab specimens. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the factors related to each studied outcome. Results: After analyzing data from 1,445,441 patients who had been hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Iran, the rates of overall reinfection, reinfection occurring at least 90 days after the initial infection, recurrence, and hospital readmission among hospitalized patients were 67.79, 26.8, 41.61, and 30.53 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Among all cases of hospitalized reinfection (48292 cases), 38.61% occurred more than 90 days from the initial SARS-Cov-2 infection. Getting infected with COVID-19 in the fifth wave of the disease compared to getting infected in the first wave (P<0.001), having cancer (P<0.001), chronic kidney disease (P<0.001), and age over 80 years (P<0.001) were respectively the most important risk factors for overall reinfection. In contrast, age 19-44 years (P<0.001), intubation (P<0.001), fever (P<0.001), and cough (P<0.001) in the initial admission were the most important protective factors of overall reinfection, respectively. Conclusion: Reinfection and recurrence of COVID-19 after recovery and the rate of hospital readmission after discharge were remarkable. Advanced or young age, as well as having underlying conditions like cancer and chronic kidney disease, increase the risk of infection and readmission.

Keywords

• Reinfection
• Recurrence
• Patient Readmission
• COVID-19
• Pandemics