The Lancet Regional Health. Western Pacific (Dec 2021)

Age-specific modifiable risk factor profiles for cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: a nationwide, population-based, prospective cohort study

  • Tiange Wang,
  • Zhiyun Zhao,
  • Xuefeng Yu,
  • Tianshu Zeng,
  • Min Xu,
  • Yu Xu,
  • Ruying Hu,
  • Gang Chen,
  • Qing Su,
  • Yiming Mu,
  • Lulu Chen,
  • Xulei Tang,
  • Li Yan,
  • Guijun Qin,
  • Qin Wan,
  • Zhengnan Gao,
  • Guixia Wang,
  • Feixia Shen,
  • Zuojie Luo,
  • Yingfen Qin,
  • Li Chen,
  • Yanan Huo,
  • Qiang Li,
  • Zhen Ye,
  • Yinfei Zhang,
  • Chao Liu,
  • Youmin Wang,
  • Shengli Wu,
  • Tao Yang,
  • Huacong Deng,
  • Jiajun Zhao,
  • Yiping Xu,
  • Mian Li,
  • Yuhong Chen,
  • Shuangyuan Wang,
  • Guang Ning,
  • Yufang Bi,
  • Lixin Shi,
  • Jieli Lu,
  • Weiqing Wang

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 17
p. 100277

Abstract

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Summary: Background: National investigations on age-specific modifiable risk factor profiles for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality are scarce in China, the country that is experiencing a huge cardiometabolic burden exacerbated by population ageing. Methods: This is a nationwide prospective cohort study of 193,846 adults in the China Cardiometabolic Disease and Cancer Cohort Study, 2011-2016. Among 139,925 participants free from CVD at baseline, we examined hazard ratios and population-attributable risk percentages (PAR%s) for CVD and all-cause mortality attributable to 12 modifiable socioeconomic, psychosocial, lifestyle, and metabolic risk factors by four age groups (40-<55 years, 55-<65 years, 65-<75 years, and ≥75 years). Findings: Metabolic risk factors accounted for 52·4%, 47·2%, and 37·8% of the PAR% for CVD events in participants aged 40-<55 years, 55-<65 years, and 65-<75 years, respectively, with hypertension being the largest risk factor. While in participants aged ≥75 years, lifestyle risk factors contributed to 34·0% of the PAR% for CVD, with inappropriate sleep duration being the predominant risk factor. Most deaths were attributed to metabolic risk factors (PAR% 25·3%) and lifestyle risk factors (PAR% 24·6%) in participants aged 40-<55 years, with unhealthy diet and diabetes being the main risk factors. While in participants aged ≥55 years, most deaths were attributed to lifestyle risk factors (PAR% 26·6%-41·0%) and socioeconomic and psychosocial risk factors (PAR% 26·1%-27·7%). In participants aged ≥75 years, lifestyle risk factors accounted for 41·0% of the PAR% for mortality, with inappropriate sleep duration being the leading risk factor. Interpretation: We identified age-specific modifiable risk profiles for CVD and all-cause mortality in Chinese adults, with remarkable differences between adults aged ≥75 years and their younger counterparts. Funding: National Natural Science Foundation of China.

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