Pass-through del tipo de cambio en América Latina

Abstract

Exchange rate pass-through in Latin America This research evaluates and compares the dynamics of the exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Colombia, Chile, Mexico, and Peru from February 2003 to October 2022. The structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) methodology is used following the decomposition of Blanchard and Quah (1989). The results show a relatively low level of transfer, some heterogeneity in its magnitudes and with a similar period of more than 25 months to achieve its permanent long-term effect. This tells us that the region's central banks must continue operating within target ranges to strengthen the anchoring of inflation expectations. A limitation of the study is the non-inclusion of data before the adoption of inflation targets. This work represents the first effort to apply the structural vector autoregressive model with long-term constraints through robust zeros to the economies of Latin America. The effects of exchange rate pass-through in Latin America have been reduced.

Keywords

• efecto traspaso, pass-through, tipo de cambio, precios al consumidor, svar, américa latina.