Resistin predicts disease severity and survival in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension

Abstract

Abstract Background Abnormal remodeling of distal pulmonary arteries in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) leads to progressively increased pulmonary vascular resistance, followed by right ventricular hypertrophy and failure. Despite considerable advancements in PAH treatment prognosis remains poor. We aim to evaluate the potential for using the cytokine resistin as a genetic and biological marker for disease severity and survival in a large cohort of patients with PAH. Methods Biospecimens, clinical, and genetic data for 1121 adults with PAH, including 808 with idiopathic PAH (IPAH) and 313 with scleroderma-associated PAH (SSc-PAH), were obtained from a national repository. Serum resistin levels were measured by ELISA, and associations between resistin levels, clinical variables, and single nucleotide polymorphism genotypes were examined with multivariable regression models. Machine-learning (ML) algorithms were applied to develop and compare risk models for mortality prediction. Results Resistin levels were significantly higher in all PAH samples and PAH subtype (IPAH and SSc-PAH) samples than in controls (P < .0001) and had significant discriminative abilities (AUCs of 0.84, 0.82, and 0.91, respectively; P < .001). High resistin levels (above 4.54 ng/mL) in PAH patients were associated with older age (P = .001), shorter 6-min walk distance (P = .001), and reduced cardiac performance (cardiac index, P = .016). Interestingly, mutant carriers of either rs3219175 or rs3745367 had higher resistin levels (adjusted P = .0001). High resistin levels in PAH patients were also associated with increased risk of death (hazard ratio: 2.6; 95% CI: 1.27–5.33; P < .0087). Comparisons of ML–derived survival models confirmed satisfactory prognostic value of the random forest model (AUC = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.62–0.79) for PAH. Conclusions This work establishes the importance of resistin in the pathobiology of human PAH. In line with its function in rodent models, serum resistin represents a novel biomarker for PAH prognostication and may indicate a new therapeutic avenue. ML-derived survival models highlighted the importance of including resistin levels to improve performance. Future studies are needed to develop multi-marker assays that improve noninvasive risk stratification.

Keywords

• Biomarker
• Pulmonary arterial hypertension
• Single nucleotide polymorphism
• SNP
• Machine learning
• Resistin