Discharge Estimation Using Integrated Satellite Data and Hybrid Model in the Midstream Yangtze River

Abstract

Remotely sensing data have advantages in filling spatiotemporal gaps of in situ observation networks, showing potential application for monitoring floods in data-sparse regions. By using the water level retrievals of Jason-2/3 altimetry satellites, this study estimates discharge at a 10-day timescale for the virtual station (VS) 012 and 077 across the midstream Yangtze River Basin during 2009–2016 based on the developed Manning formula. Moreover, we calibrate a hybrid model combined with Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data, by coupling the GR6J hydrological model with a machine learning model to simulate discharge. To physically capture the flood processes, the random forest (RF) model is employed to downscale the 10-day discharge into a daily scale. The results show that: (1) discharge estimates from the developed Manning formula show good accuracy for the VS012 and VS077 based on the improved Multi-subwaveform Multi-weight Threshold Retracker; (2) the combination of the GR6J and the LSTM models substantially improves the performance of the discharge estimates solely from either the GR6J or LSTM models; (3) RF-downscaled daily discharge demonstrates a general consistency with in situ data, where NSE/KGE between them are as high as 0.69/0.83. Our approach, based on multi-source remotely sensing data and machine learning techniques, may benefit flood monitoring in poorly gauged areas.

Keywords

• satellite altimetry
• GRACE
• machine learning
• hydrological simulation