Robust Bilevel Optimal Dispatch of Park Integrated Energy System Considering Renewable Energy Uncertainty

Abstract

This paper focuses on optimizing the park integrated energy system (PIES) operation, and a robust bilevel optimal dispatch is proposed. Firstly, the robust uncertainty set is constructed based on the K-means++ algorithm to solve the uncertainty of renewable energy sources output in PIES. Then, the bi-level dispatch model is proposed, with the operator as the leader and consumers as the follower. The upper model establishes an electricity-heat-gas integrated energy network, and the lower model considers the demand response of consumers. Optimizing the pricing strategies of energy sources to determine the output of each energy conversion equipment and the demand response plan. Moreover, analyzing the decision-making process of the robust bi-level model and the solution method is given. Finally, case studies show that the proposed dispatch model can increase operator profits and reduce consumers’ energy costs. The in-sample and out-of-sample simulations demonstrate that the proposed ellipsoid uncertainty set possesses high compactness, good robustness, and low conservatism.

Keywords

• K-means++
• robust bilevel optimization
• multi-energy flow model
• demand response