Модернизация, инновация, развитие (Mar 2022)
Assessment of the Economic Security of Russia in the Foreign Economic Sphere on the Basis of the Non-parametric Method
Abstract
Purpose: is to assess the security of Russia's economic security in the foreign economic sphere.Methods: the article is based on the analysis of the theoretical foundations of the formation of target values of economic security indicators, the study of the methodology for applying the non-parametric method for assessing data envelopment analysis and the use of the statistical method of information processing. The method of comparative analysis of the economic development of foreign countries was also used. To form a holistic view of the results of the assessment, the data visualization method was used.Results: based on the result of considering the methodology of the non-parametric data envelopment analysis estimation method, the advantages of its application are described, as well as the key features that need to be paid attention to when assessing by this method. The content of two main assessment models used in the framework of the data envelopment analysis (DEA) method is disclosed, the use of one of them in the context of assessing the country's economic security is justified. By using specialized software (Deap version 1.2), the economic security of Russia in the foreign economic sphere was assessed, as a result of which the target value of the economic security indicator for the long term was obtained.Conclusions and Relevance: the method for assessing economic security considered in the article makes it possible to deepen the existing assessment tools, supplement the existing methods for calculating the target indicators of economic security and, if necessary, adjust the current target indicators. The information obtained on the basis of the DEA method can be used in the formation of plans and forecasts in the field of economic security, as well as in the development of methodological support for the Economic Security Strategy of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030.
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