A model for supporting the decision of plum variety selection based on fuzzy logic

Abstract

The choice of the appropriate variety of fruit is one of the most important factors in establishing new orchards. It is necessary to choose the variety that will give the best results in meeting the investment goals. This paper offered an innovative decision support model for plum variety selection, based on expert decision making and fuzzy logic. The fuzzy MARCOS (Measurement Alternatives and Ranking according to COmpromise Solution) method was used. The research was conducted with the aim of improving plum production in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). To achieve this, the knowledge of experts from the Republic of Serbia was used, because this country is currently the third in the world in plum production and have branded many plum varieties. The results obtained using this model showed that two plum varieties stand out - Čačanska rodna and Stanley. These results were also confirmed by the performed sensitivity analysis. The worst results were obtained by the Šumadijka variety. These results will help in the selection of plum varieties when establishing new orchards in BiH to achieve the best results in Bosnian plum production.

Keywords

• decision support model
• fuzzy logic
• marcos method
• plum variety