Zhihui kongzhi yu fangzhen (Feb 2023)

Research on risk assessment of equipment engineering development based on AHP-cloud model

  • ZHANG Jia-wen

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1673-3819.2023.01.003
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 45, no. 1
pp. 15 – 20

Abstract

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The equipment engineering development stage is the process of transforming equipment design drawings and combat technical performance into material entities, which is the longest and riskiest period in the equipment procurement process. In this paper, by finding relevant literature on the development of equipment engineering projects, a comprehensive risk evaluation index system is constructed, and the relative weights between the primary and secondary indicators are calculated using the AHP method (hierarchical analysis). Using cloud computing theory, the evaluation cloud model of various types of risks in the development stage of equipment engineering is constructed, and a standard cloud diagram is formed. Taking a type of communication equipment as an example, the comprehensive risk is scientifically assessed, and the level of this type of communication equipment is scientifically assessed and finally judged as medium risk. The AHP-cloud model evaluation method in this paper provides new ideas for equipment procurement departments and contract manufacturing units to evaluate the risks in the equipment engineering development phase.

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