Prognostic roles of neutrophil–lymphocyte, monocyte-lymphocyte and platelet-lymphocyte ratios for long-term all-cause mortality in heart failure

Abstract

Background: Heart failure (HF) and inflammation have a bidirectional relation leading to activation and adaptation of multiple cellular lines, including leucocyte subtypes and platelets. We aimed to assess and compare the predictive value of the neutrophil–lymphocyte (NLR), monocyte-lymphocyte (MLR) and platelet-lymphocyte (PLR) ratios for all-cause long-term mortality in HF. Methods: This is an observational retrospective cohort study that included patients from the HI-HF cohort that survived the initial hospitalization. Vital status and survival time were assessed in June 2020. Results: We analyzed 1018 HF patients with a mean age of 72.32 ± 10.29 years and 53.54 % women. All-cause long-term mortality was 38.21 % after a median follow-up time of 68 [38 – 82] months. NLR (AUC 0.667, 95 %CI 0.637 – 0.697), MLR (AUC 0.670, 95 %CI 0.640 – 0.700) and PLR (AUC 0.606, 95 %CI 0.574 – 0.636) were predictors of all-cause mortality. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, NLR≥3.56 was the only hematological index independent predictor of fatality (HR 1.36, 95 %CI 1.05 – 1.76). Conclusions: Of the three hematological indices, NLR was the only independent predictor of all-cause long-term mortality of HF patients. We suggest NLR≥3.56 as an auxiliary prognostic biomarker for the evaluation of HF patients.

Keywords

• Heart failure
• All-cause mortality
• Neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio
• NLR
• Monocyte-lymphocyte ratio
• MLR