The Role of Recession and Boom in the Impact of Oil Resource Rents on Financial Development Index in Iran: Is the Institutional Quality a Matter?

Abstract

In the present study, the role of recession, boom and the quality of institutions in the impact of natural resource rents on Iran's financial development index in 1984-2018 has been investigated. For this purpose, first, the principal component analysis model has been used to extract the indicators of institutional quality and financial development. Then to study the effect of natural resource rents on financial development in the country during periods of recession and boom and in two modes with and without considering the institutional quality index, the threshold structural autoregressive model has been used. According to the research results, the impact of oil resources rent in the country on financial development does not depend on recession and boom, and the determining factor in the curse or blessing of oil resources rent in the country is the quality of institutions. If the rent of resources and the quality of institutions increase at the same time, it is possible to increase financial development in the short term, while in the absence of quality of institutions in the rent of resources, in the short term rent of resources leads to reduced financial development in the country. Accordingly, even if the quality of institutions in the country simultaneously improves, oil resources and the resulting increase in rents can not be considered a long-term factor for improving and growing financial development in the country.

Keywords

• natural resource rent
• institutional quality
• financial development
• business cycles
• tsvar model