Nature Communications (Jan 2017)

Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models

  • Bernhard Schauberger,
  • Sotirios Archontoulis,
  • Almut Arneth,
  • Juraj Balkovic,
  • Philippe Ciais,
  • Delphine Deryng,
  • Joshua Elliott,
  • Christian Folberth,
  • Nikolay Khabarov,
  • Christoph Müller,
  • Thomas A. M. Pugh,
  • Susanne Rolinski,
  • Sibyll Schaphoff,
  • Erwin Schmid,
  • Xuhui Wang,
  • Wolfram Schlenker,
  • Katja Frieler

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms13931
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 8, no. 1
pp. 1 – 9

Abstract

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Future agricultural productivity is threatened by high temperatures. Here, using 9 crop models, Schaubergeret al. find that yield losses due to temperatures >30 °C are captured by current models where yield losses by mild heat stress occur mainly due to water stress and can be buffered by irrigation.