Przeszłość Demograficzna Polski (Jan 2016)

Krakowskie ceny zbóż a ruch urodzeń w parafiach na południe od Krakowa od XVII do XVIII wieku

  • Piotr Miodunka

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 38


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The article is aimed at an analysis of how the prices of cereals in Cracow (exemplified with rye) were related to the fluctuations of births in rural parishes situated in the southern part of the historical Cracow Voivodeship. Such an analysis has been possible thanks to an almost comprehensive reconstruction of a series of rye prices in the years 1600–1795, which shows both cyclical changes and long-term tendencies. The series of births in several rural parishes near Cracow have been analysed in a similar way. The strength of the relation between the price of rye and the number of births in the parishes has been measured with a correlation coefficient after removing trends from the data series in two variants: with the first difference method and with the Hodrick-Prescott filter.