Landslide Risk Prediction Model Using an Attention-Based Temporal Convolutional Network Connected to a Recurrent Neural Network

Abstract

Landslide risk assessment is an important component of the landslide research field. For the problem of landslide assessment indicators, we utilize the TOPSIS-Entropy method to assess the risk situation of landslide occurrences, which is easy to obtain directly from sensor data. By using the TOPSIS-Entropy method in landslide datasets, the instability margins of landslide risk are obtained, reflecting the current instability probability of the landslide body. For the landslide prediction issue, deep neural networks are used to predict the corresponding landslide instability margins (LIMs). Attention mechanism-based (Attn) temporal convolutional networks (TCN) connected with recurrent neural network (RNN) models for landslide risk prediction are proposed, including TCN-Attn-RNN and RNN-Attn-TCN, which both use an encoder–decoder architecture. The encoder in the first model uses the temporal convolutional network (TCN), and the decoder uses a neural network with an RNN architecture, including long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, gated recurrent units (GRUs), and their derivative algorithms. In the second model, the encoder uses a neural network with an RNN architecture, and the decoder uses a TCN. Combining the TOPSIS-Entropy method with TCN-Attn-RNN and RNN-Attn-TCN, reliable prediction models of landslide risk are proposed. By building a landslide simulation platform, we obtained landslide data. Compared to their counterparts, the proposed prediction models of landslide risk instability margins have better predictive effects.

Keywords

• Landslide risk
• TOPSIS-Entropy
• instability margin
• attention mechanism
• temporal convolutional network
• recurrent neural network