The Innovation (Feb 2021)
Contribution of Temperature Increase to Restrain the Transmission of COVID-19
- Mengyuan Ren,
- Rongjuan Pei,
- Bahabaike Jiangtulu,
- Junxi Chen,
- Tao Xue,
- Guofeng Shen,
- Xiaoru Yuan,
- Kexin Li,
- Changxin Lan,
- Zhen Chen,
- Xinwen Chen,
- Yun Wang,
- Xiaoqian Jia,
- Zewu Li,
- Audil Rashid,
- Tippawan Prapamontol,
- Xiuge Zhao,
- Zhaomin Dong,
- Yali Zhang,
- Le Zhang,
- Rongwei Ye,
- Zhiwen Li,
- Wuxiang Guan,
- Bin Wang
Affiliations
- Mengyuan Ren
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Rongjuan Pei
- Wuhan Institute of Virology, Center for Biosafety Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, Hubei, China
- Bahabaike Jiangtulu
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Junxi Chen
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Tao Xue
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Guofeng Shen
- College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China
- Xiaoru Yuan
- Key Laboratory of Machine Perception (Ministry of Education), and School of EECS, Peking University, Beijing, China
- Kexin Li
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, P. R. China
- Changxin Lan
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Zhen Chen
- Wuhan Institute of Virology, Center for Biosafety Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, Hubei, China
- Xinwen Chen
- Wuhan Institute of Virology, Center for Biosafety Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, Hubei, China
- Yun Wang
- Wuhan Institute of Virology, Center for Biosafety Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, Hubei, China
- Xiaoqian Jia
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Zewu Li
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Audil Rashid
- Faculty of Science, Botany Department, University of Gujrat, Hafiz Hayat Campus, Gujrat-50700, Pakistan
- Tippawan Prapamontol
- Research Institute for Health Sciences, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand
- Xiuge Zhao
- State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, P. R. China
- Zhaomin Dong
- Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Big Data-Based Precision Medicine, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
- Yali Zhang
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Le Zhang
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Rongwei Ye
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Zhiwen Li
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China
- Wuxiang Guan
- Wuhan Institute of Virology, Center for Biosafety Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, Hubei, China; Corresponding author
- Bin Wang
- Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, Peking University/ Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, P. R. China; Corresponding author
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 2,
no. 1
p. 100071
Abstract
Summary: The COVID-19 outbreak has already become a global pandemic and containing this rapid worldwide transmission is of great challenge. The impacts of temperature and humidity on the COVID-19 transmission rate are still under discussion. Here, we elucidated these relationships by utilizing two unique scenarios, repeated measurement and natural experiment, using the COVID-19 cases reported from January 23 – February 21, 2020, in China. The modeling results revealed that higher temperature was most strongly associated with decreased COVID-19 transmission at a lag time of 8 days. Relative humidity (RH) appeared to have only a slight effect. These findings were verified by assessing SARS-CoV-2 infectivity under the relevant conditions of temperature (4°C–37°C) and RH (> 40%). We concluded that temperature increase made an important, but not determined, contribution to restrain the COVID-19 outbreak in China. It suggests that the emphasis of other effective controlling polices should be strictly implemented to restrain COVID-19 transmission in cold seasons.
