Strategic Audit of Iranian Labor Force in Small Areas

Abstract

The management of the labor force is a strategic issue that requires strategic decision-making, strategic environmental analysis, which is clear that having statistics and information is a prerequisite for this. According to the current economic conditions of the country, it is necessary to audit the situation of the labor force not only in the national and provincial levels, but also at the city. However, at present, the official statistics of the Iranian labor force are only optimal at the national and provincial levels and are not reliable at the level of small areas. This article tries to estimate the unemployment rate of the provinces and cities of the country as small areas to enable the analysis of the gap and consequently audit and strategic planning for the situation of Iran's labor for. In this article, results of the labor force survey, which has been done by the Statistics Center of Iran in 1397, have been used. It is worth noting that in sampling surveys in which sample units are weighted, estimations by conventional modeling methods without considering the weights, leads to bias estimates. Therefore, in this study, weighted Bayesian methods have been used to estimate the unemployment rate of small areas.

Keywords

• strategic decision making
• strategic audit
• small area estimation
• ‌bayesian weighted estimator
• bayesian pseudo posterior estimator