Fully volumetric body composition analysis for prognostic overall survival stratification in melanoma patients

Abstract

Abstract Background Accurate assessment of expected survival in melanoma patients is crucial for treatment decisions. This study explores deep learning-based body composition analysis to predict overall survival (OS) using baseline Computed Tomography (CT) scans and identify fully volumetric, prognostic body composition features. Methods A deep learning network segmented baseline abdomen and thorax CTs from a cohort of 495 patients. The Sarcopenia Index (SI), Myosteatosis Fat Index (MFI), and Visceral Fat Index (VFI) were derived and statistically assessed for prognosticating OS. External validation was performed with 428 patients. Results SI was significantly associated with OS on both CT regions: abdomen (P ≤ 0.0001, HR: 0.36) and thorax (P ≤ 0.0001, HR: 0.27), with lower SI associated with worse survival. MFI was also associated with OS on abdomen (P ≤ 0.0001, HR: 1.16) and thorax CTs (P ≤ 0.0001, HR: 1.08), where higher MFI was linked to worse outcomes. Lastly, VFI was associated with OS on abdomen CTs (P ≤ 0.001, HR: 1.90), with higher VFI linked to poor outcomes. External validation replicated these results. Conclusions SI, MFI, and VFI showed substantial potential as prognostic factors for OS in malignant melanoma patients. This approach leveraged existing CT scans without additional procedural or financial burdens, highlighting the seamless integration of DL-based body composition analysis into standard oncologic staging routines. Graphical Abstract

Keywords

• Body composition
• Melanoma
• Computed tomography
• Overall survival
• Prognostication
• Cancer