Nature Communications (Sep 2021)

Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics

  • Louise Dyson,
  • Edward M. Hill,
  • Sam Moore,
  • Jacob Curran-Sebastian,
  • Michael J. Tildesley,
  • Katrina A. Lythgoe,
  • Thomas House,
  • Lorenzo Pellis,
  • Matt J. Keeling

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25915-7
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 1
pp. 1 – 13

Abstract

Read online

Understanding the potential impacts of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 is important for pandemic planning. Here, the authors develop a model incorporating hypothetical new variants with varying transmissibility and immune evasion properties, and use it to project possible future epidemic waves in the UK.