Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Determination of Oil Spill Domains at Port and Sea Water Areas

Abstract

Monte Carlo simulation method of oil spill domains determination based on the probabilistic approach to the solution of this problem is proposed. A semi-Markov model of the process of changing hydro-meteorological conditions is constructed and its parameters are defined. The general stochastic model of oil spill domain movement for various hydro-meteorological conditions is described. Monte Carlo simulation procedure is created and applied to generating the process of changing hydro-meteorological conditions and the prediction of the oil spill domain movement impacted by these changes conditions.

Keywords

• oil spill domains
• monte carlo simulation
• determination of oil spill
• port area
• sea water areas
• oil spill
• semi-markov model
• hydro-meteorological conditions