Ham Petrol Fiyatlarındaki Volatilitenin Gayri Safi Yurtiçi Hasıla Büyümesi Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği( The Effects on Gross Domestic Product Growth of Crude Oil Price Volatility: A Case Study for Turkey)

Abstract

In this paper, the relationship between international crude oil prices and GDP growth in Turkey was studied for 1987-2007 period. Crude oil prices with reference to the study,. Include annual average data. GDP data was obtained from Central Bank of Turkish as US dolar. With a view to display cointegration relationship between the data, Angle Granger and Johansen methods were applied. Notwithstanding, the results were inquired with VAR method. In the meanwhile; Dickey Fuller, Unit Root and Modified Akaike tests were executed too. Crude oil prices volatility effects on GDP growth, and also affect in question has appeared especially as from the second period (1997-2007).

Keywords

• Ham Petrol Fiyatları
• GSYH
• Volatilite
• Crude Oil Price
• GDP
• Volatility