Supervised Machine Learning Techniques for Breeding Value Prediction in Horses: An Example Using Gait Visual Scores

Abstract

Gait scores are widely used in the genetic evaluation of horses. However, the nature of such measurement may limit genetic progress since there is subjectivity in phenotypic information. This study aimed to assess the application of machine learning techniques in the prediction of breeding values for five visual gait scores in Campolina horses: dissociation, comfort, style, regularity, and development. The dataset contained over 5000 phenotypic records with 107,951 horses (14 generations) in the pedigree. A fixed model was used to estimate least-square solutions for fixed effects and adjusted phenotypes. Variance components and breeding values (EBV) were obtained via a multiple-trait model (MTM). Adjusted phenotypes and fixed effects solutions were used to train machine learning models (using the EBV from MTM as target variable): artificial neural network (ANN), random forest regression (RFR) and support vector regression (SVR). To validate the models, the linear regression method was used. Accuracy was comparable across all models (but it was slightly higher for ANN). The highest bias was observed for ANN, followed by MTM. Dispersion varied according to the trait; it was higher for ANN and the lowest for MTM. Machine learning is a feasible alternative to EBV prediction; however, this method will be slightly biased and over-dispersed for young animals.

Keywords

• support vector regression
• machine learning
• gait prediction
• visual scores