Vaccine effectiveness dynamics against influenza and SARS-CoV-2 in community-tested patients in France 2023–2024

Abstract

The epidemiology of respiratory viruses and vaccine effectiveness (VE) in the community are not well described. This study assessed VE against a positive test of influenza (VEf) and SARS-CoV-2 (VECov). Data from networks of community-based laboratories in France were collected during standard of care in the 2023-2024 epidemic season (n = 511,083 multiplex RT-PCR tests). Patients' demographics and symptoms were reported in addition to viral sequencing results. The test-negative design was used to estimate VEf and VECov by time since vaccination and calendar week. Adjusted VEf by age, sex, presence of symptoms, PCR technique, and week of testing, was 47.6% (95% CI: 44.3-50.7%). VEf was lower in patients ≥65 years (42.0%; 95% CI: 36.6-46.9%) than in 18-64 years (52.9%; 95% CI: 48.6-56.8%). The adjusted VEf against type A influenza, which represented 98% of typed viruses, was 51% (45%-56.6%) for patients vaccinated 15 days to 3 months before testing, and 35.5% (24.2%-45.3%) for those vaccinated 3-6 months before testing. For VECov, the adjusted estimate in patients vaccinated 15 days to 3 months prior to testing was 40.6% (7.2%-58.6%) at week 39, 24.8% (4.0%-38.8%) at week 45, and dropped systematically through the epidemic season as the JN.1 variant became dominant. This study showed moderate VEf and VECov against infection in the community and highlighted the impact of time since vaccination and age for both estimates, and the new variant emergence on VECov. These findings should be considered in future vaccination campaigns.

Keywords

• Influenza
• COVID-19
• Vaccine
• Effectiveness
• Community testing