Can Machine Learning Correctly Predict Outcomes of Flexible Ureteroscopy with Laser Lithotripsy for Kidney Stone Disease? Results from a Large Endourology University Centre

Abstract

Background and objective: The integration of machine learning (ML) in health care has garnered significant attention because of its unprecedented opportunities to enhance patient care and outcomes. In this study, we trained ML algorithms for automated prediction of outcomes of ureteroscopic laser lithotripsy (URSL) on the basis of preoperative characteristics. Methods: Data were retrieved for patients treated with ureteroscopy for urolithiasis by a single experienced surgeon over a 7-yr period. Sixteen ML classification algorithms were trained to investigate correlation between preoperative characteristics and postoperative outcomes. The outcomes assessed were primary stone-free status (SFS, defined as the presence of only stone fragments 90% for prediction of SFS and complications, and represents a basis for the development of an accessible predictive model for endourologists and patients in the URSL setting. Patient summary: We tested the ability of artificial intelligence to predict treatment outcomes for patients with kidney stones. We trained 16 different machine learning tools with data before surgery, such as patient age and the stone characteristics. Our final model was >90% accurate in predicting stone-free status after surgery and the occurrence of complications.

Keywords

• Artificial intelligence
• Ureteroscopy
• Kidney calculi
• Machine learning