Tone of Board Activity Report and Bankruptcy Prediction

Abstract

A firm bankruptcy prediction is one of the important challenges of investors and other stakeholders in the capital market, because timely detection of firms exposed to bankruptcy can largely prevent potential losses. Nevertheless, despite numerous efforts in this field (generally considering quantitative criteria) , a comprehensive method for predicting bankruptcy has not been developed yet. Therefore, considering qualitative criteria along with quantitative criteria in order to predict bankruptcy may be beneficial. This study attempts to investigate the effect of tone of Board activity reports as one of the qualitative criteria, on predicting a firm bankruptcy. The present study uses data of 476 year-firm listed in Tehran Stock Exchange in the period from 2011 to 1396. In order to test the hypotheses, logistic regression method is used.Findings indicate that the qualitative criteria (negative and judicial tone) of financial reports may not predict a firm bankruptcy. In other words, tone of financial reports does not provide investors and stakeholders with a suitable tool for predicting bankruptcy. ‌

Keywords

• bankruptcy prediction
• financial reports
• tone