جغرافیای اجتماعی شهری (Aug 2019)

Analysis of the drivers explain the resilience of the city in the metropolis of Mashhad

  • Davoud Abbasi Goojani,
  • Ahmad Khademolhoseiny,
  • Mehdi Modiri,
  • Hamid Saberi,
  • Amir Gandomkar

DOI
https://doi.org/10.22103/JUSG.2019.1981
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 6, no. 1
pp. 109 – 122

Abstract

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Objective: A resilience to the new approach is to assess and improve the capacity and permanence of the foundations of development in cities. Explaining and identifying its effective and promising components can be the basis for many crisis management and non-operating city defense programs that are very necessary in light of the complexities of today's threats. Methods: the present paper is aimed at applying and descriptive-analytical methodology in order to identify and analyze the explanatory predictors of urban resilience in Mashhad's metropolis. The purpose of documentary and Delphi method was used to identify the conceptual features explaining the main proponents of the resilience. The sample population of experts and experts involved in the topic of research in two parts is 15 people to implement a targeted Delphi technique and 50 people to evaluate the contributing drivers. The data analysis is based on the AMOS Structural Equation Modeling. Results: The results show that, firstly, the analysis of conceptual indicators using exploratory factor analysis (EFA) of the six main explanatory drivers was as economic resilience with coefficient of reliability of 0.78, social resilience with coefficient of reliability of 0.76, Physical aberration with a coefficient of reliability of 0.72; institutional-managerial resilience with 0.73 coefficient of reliability and infrastructure resilience with a coefficient of 0.82 identified; and secondly, analysis of the structure of the communicators of the propulsors identified using a confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) showed that the identified propellants have a significant structural relationship to explain the fluctuation in the metropolis of Mashhad. Conclusion: In occurring of accidents, set of factors have main role and between them, human factors role are deterministic, so we must be prioritized training principles in reduction and preventive plans.

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