Study on the Influence Factors of the Evolution of Aquaculture in China

Abstract

Aquaculture plays an important role in fishery structure and economy in China. At present, fishery industry is in a period of transformation from elements-driven to innovation-driven, which has put forward higher requirements for the transformation and upgrading of the aquaculture. This study was based on industry evolution path and running mechanism, from the aspects of resources, technology, market, system, by using the index data from 1998 to 2019, through the grey relation analysis and ridge regression analysis, to explore the factors affecting the evolution of industry and study the effects of different factors on the degree of influence on the development of the aquaculture evolution, to promote the development of China's aquaculture industry and strengthen the competitiveness of aquaculture to provide theoretical support. The results showed that the per capita consumption of aquatic products of urban residents had the greatest impact on the evolution of China's aquaculture. The GDP and output per unit area had significant impact, and the expenditure of aquatic technology promotion had the least impact. Therefore, to promote the transformation and upgrading in China's aquaculture, the following suggestions were put forward that we should promote the leading and management about aquatic product consumption, expand domestic and international consumer market, increase investment in science and technology and develop breeding technology, strengthen resource protection and promote green development and resolve the problems about quality and safety of aquaculture products.

Keywords

• aquaculture
• industrial evolution
• grey relational analysis
• ridge regression
• fishery economy