Evaluation of Gridded Precipitation Data for Hydrologic Modeling in North-Central Texas

Abstract

Over the past few decades, several high-resolution gridded precipitation products have been developed using multiple data sources and techniques, including measured precipitation, numerical modeling, and remote sensing. Each has its own sets of uncertainties and limitations. Therefore, evaluating these datasets is critical in assessing their applicability in various climatic regions. We used ten precipitation datasets, including measured (in situ), gauge-based, and satellite-based products, to assess their relevance for hydrologic modeling at the Bosque River Basin in North-Central Texas. Evaluated datasets include: (1) in situ station data from the Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN); (2) gauge-based dataset Daymet and the Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slope Model (PRISM); (3) satellite-based dataset Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), Early and Late, Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN) and PERSIANN-CCS (Cloud Classification System); (4) satellite-based gauge-corrected dataset IMERG-Final, PERSIANN-CDR (Climate Data Record), and CHIRPS (Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Station data). Daily precipitation data (2000–2019) were used in the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for hydrologic simulations. Each precipitation dataset was used with measured monthly United States Geological Survey (USGS) streamflow data at three locations in the watershed for model calibration and validation. The SUFI-2 (Sequential Uncertainty Fitting) method on the SWAT-CUP (Calibration and Uncertainty Program) was used to quantify and compare the uncertainty in streamflow simulations from all precipitation datasets. The study has also analyzed the uncertainties in SWAT model parameter values under different gridded precipitation datasets. The results showed similar or better model calibration/validation statistics from gauge-based (Daymet and PRISM) and satellite-based gauge-corrected products (CHIRPS) compared with the GHCN data. However, satellite-based precipitation products such as PERSIANN-CCS and PERSIANN-CDR unveil comparatively inferior to capture in situ precipitation and simulate streamflow. The results showed that gauge-based datasets had comparable and even superior performances in some metrics compared with the GHCN data.

Keywords

• gridded precipitation
• satellite-based
• Bosque watershed
• SWAT
• hydrologic modeling