CURRENT ISSUES OF APPLICATION OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE OF PREDICTING THE ECONOMIC NEEDS IN QUALIFIED PERSONS IN PRACTICE OF GOVERNMENT MANAGEMENT IN RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Abstract

It is shown that in highly developed countries a balance models and general computable equilibrium models are used to predict the dynamics of labor and employment markets. It was noted that a holistic approach to forecasting the needs of the national economies in qualified personnel was developed abroad, based on the optimal combination of quantitative and qualitative methods. The necessity of revealing and analyzing the factors determining the current and prospective demand and supply of labor in the digital economy is substantiated. The expediency of creating an early warning system in the Russian Federation that allows timely detection of trends in the dynamics of demand and supply of skilled labor in order to develop strategic forecasts of the labor market and the formation of an effective state employment policy is argued.

Keywords

• forecasting
• need of qualified personnel
• digital economy
• computable general equilibrium
• foreign experience